Sunland Park, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Sunland Park NM
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Sunland Park NM
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX |
Updated: 12:14 am MDT Jul 27, 2025 |
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Today
 Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Tonight
 Slight Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Monday
 Mostly Sunny then Chance T-storms
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Monday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Tuesday
 Slight Chance Showers then Chance T-storms
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Tuesday Night
 Chance T-storms
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Wednesday
 Mostly Sunny then Slight Chance T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 Slight Chance T-storms then Partly Cloudy
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Thursday
 Sunny
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Hi 97 °F |
Lo 74 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 93 °F |
Lo 71 °F |
Hi 94 °F |
Lo 73 °F |
Hi 96 °F |
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Today
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after 3pm. Sunny, with a high near 97. East southeast wind 6 to 9 mph. |
Tonight
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 9pm. Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. Northeast wind 7 to 10 mph becoming east southeast after midnight. |
Monday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 93. East southeast wind 6 to 9 mph. |
Monday Night
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A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. East southeast wind 6 to 9 mph becoming north northwest after midnight. |
Tuesday
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A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Partly sunny, with a high near 93. East northeast wind around 6 mph becoming southeast in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Tuesday Night
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Southeast wind around 6 mph becoming northwest after midnight. |
Wednesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 94. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming south in the afternoon. |
Wednesday Night
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. South wind around 6 mph becoming light and variable. |
Thursday
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Sunny, with a high near 96. Northeast wind around 6 mph becoming south southeast in the afternoon. |
Thursday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 73. |
Friday
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Sunny, with a high near 97. |
Friday Night
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Partly cloudy, with a low around 74. |
Saturday
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Sunny, with a high near 97. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Sunland Park NM.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
105
FXUS64 KEPZ 270437
AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1037 PM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1002 PM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
- Moisture increases through Tuesday with the most widespread
thunderstorm activity being Monday and Tuesday.
- The flash flooding threat returns Monday and Tuesday, favoring
western areas, as a monsoonal plume sets up.
- After a cool down earlier in the week, temperatures rebound by
next weekend as storm chances diminish.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1002 PM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
An inverted trough currently south of the Big Bend will continue its
trek westward across northern Mexico over the next several days
around the upper high over the Southeast. Our winds shift
southeasterly tonight in advance of the trough with moisture
beginning to increase. Dew points reach the 50s by the morning for
most areas, mixing out into the 40s during the afternoon,
producing enough moisture and instability to spark isolated to
scattered convection. Strong outflow gusts to 50 mph and blowing
dust are concerns Sun afternoon due to dew point depressions near
50 degrees and inverted-V forecast soundings. Heavy downpours and
localized flash flooding may accompany these storms with rain
rates of up to 2" per hour according to the RRFS as deeper
moisture filters in. Most of the activity dissipates around
sunset, but a few showers could linger into the overnight as PWs
approach 1.25" (for comparison, normal is around 1.1").
Monday and Tuesday still look like the most active days of the
period with PWs peaking close to 1.5" Monday night at KELP. As has
been seen so far this monsoon season with these moisture surges, the
Euro ensemble is more bullish on PWs than the GEFS early next week
(GEFS peaks 1.3-1.4"; EPS peaks 1.5"). The EPS has performed
better than the GEFS with its PW forecast. Meanwhile, the RRFS is
now within range and has been consistently showing PWs close to
1.7" (record levels) Monday night/Tue AM as the inverted trough
pushes through Chihuahua.
Regardless of just how much moisture we get, western areas and the
higher terrain are more favored to see heavy rainfall Mon/Tue.
Scattered to numerous storms are expected mainly west of the RGV
Monday PM with rain rates of 2-3" according to the RRFS and a low-
medium risk of flash flooding, especially over recent burn scars and
other sensitive areas like Vado. Tuesday will see lower storm
coverage east of the RGV as the upper high drifts into the
Southern Plains, nudging the moisture plume towards eastern AZ.
The high will continue to push westward for the second half of
the week, eventually sitting over the Southern Rockies by next
weekend. The threat of flash flooding out west diminishes through
midweek while the high and its drier air gain influence. Storm
chances continue to lower for eastern areas as the best moisture
is confined to northern and western areas later in the week. The
exact location of the high will be crucial in determining storm
chances and how much recycled moisture we`ll have to work with.
Temperatures stay warm for Sunday, then cooling to slightly below
normal into midweek due to more cloud cover. Temps rebound later
in the week as high pressure moves overhead and the deeper
moisture is flushed out.
&&
.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1002 PM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
VFR conditions prevail through the morning. Winds will shift
tonight to SE, increasing moisture throughout the period. Other
than SCT-BKN120 passing by KELP, mainly SKC persists through 18z.
Isolated showers and storms develop in the lowlands during the
afternoon, creating outflows up to 40kts and localized BLDU. 20-0z
is the most likely timeframe to see convection. Highest
confidence in direct impacts is at KLRU and KELP later in the
afternoon; lower chances for KTCS and KDMN. E-SE flow increases a
bit later in the period with gusts to near 20kts.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1135 AM MDT Sat Jul 26 2025
Moisture pushes in tonight and tomorrow morning from the
southeast which will bring an increase in storm activity tomorrow
compared to what we`ll see today. In addition, min RH values will
increase to above critical thresholds for all areas generally
along and east of the Rio Grande. RH values of 10-15% will be seen
elsewhere. Gusty outflow winds will be a concern near storms.
Moisture continues to push into the area, so Monday and Tuesday
will be the best thunderstorm days with the best coverage.
Flooding will be an issue with storms, especially over recent burn
scars. High pressure begins influencing the area Wednesday and
onward with the monsoonal plume of moisture focused on locations
west of the RGV and into AZ. This is where the best storm coverage
will be with lesser activity focused out east. Moisture looks to
stick around allowing for warmer temperatures and normal monsoonal
activity, just may be more of a focus for storms out west. Min
RHs look to largely stay out of critical thresholds except for
portions of the lower valley Wednesday and Thursday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 76 99 76 95 / 0 20 20 30
Sierra Blanca 67 92 68 89 / 10 20 10 50
Las Cruces 69 97 70 91 / 0 20 20 30
Alamogordo 70 94 68 91 / 0 20 20 30
Cloudcroft 52 72 49 69 / 0 40 20 60
Truth or Consequences 69 96 70 91 / 0 10 10 30
Silver City 65 92 64 87 / 0 20 20 70
Deming 68 100 72 95 / 0 20 30 30
Lordsburg 67 99 71 94 / 0 10 20 50
West El Paso Metro 76 97 75 93 / 0 20 20 30
Dell City 70 96 71 93 / 10 10 10 30
Fort Hancock 75 100 74 95 / 10 30 20 50
Loma Linda 69 91 67 86 / 0 20 20 40
Fabens 74 98 74 94 / 0 20 20 30
Santa Teresa 73 97 73 92 / 0 20 20 30
White Sands HQ 75 97 73 92 / 0 20 20 30
Jornada Range 70 96 70 91 / 0 20 20 40
Hatch 69 100 71 94 / 0 20 20 30
Columbus 71 100 73 94 / 0 20 30 30
Orogrande 70 94 69 90 / 0 20 20 30
Mayhill 57 84 55 80 / 10 40 20 60
Mescalero 57 83 55 80 / 0 40 20 60
Timberon 56 81 54 76 / 0 30 20 50
Winston 57 89 59 84 / 0 20 10 50
Hillsboro 65 96 66 91 / 0 20 20 40
Spaceport 67 95 68 91 / 0 20 20 30
Lake Roberts 57 92 59 87 / 0 20 20 80
Hurley 63 94 65 89 / 0 20 20 60
Cliff 65 100 68 94 / 0 20 20 70
Mule Creek 62 95 64 91 / 0 10 10 60
Faywood 66 93 67 88 / 0 20 30 60
Animas 67 99 70 94 / 0 10 30 50
Hachita 66 97 69 91 / 0 20 30 40
Antelope Wells 67 97 68 92 / 0 20 40 40
Cloverdale 67 94 67 89 / 0 20 30 50
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
$$
FORECASTER...39-Aronson
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