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Sunland Park, New Mexico 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Sunland Park NM
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Sunland Park NM
Issued by: National Weather Service El Paso, TX |
| Updated: 6:14 pm MDT Sep 20, 2024 |
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Tonight
Slight Chance
T-storms
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Saturday
Becoming
Sunny
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Saturday
Night
Mostly Clear
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Sunday
Sunny
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Sunday
Night
Mostly Clear
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Monday
Mostly Sunny
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Monday
Night
Mostly Clear
then Chance
T-storms
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Tuesday
Slight Chance
T-storms then
Sunny
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Tuesday
Night
Chance
T-storms
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| Lo 70 °F |
Hi 90 °F |
Lo 59 °F |
Hi 86 °F |
Lo 61 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 65 °F |
Hi 89 °F |
Lo 65 °F |
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Tonight
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. South wind 5 to 7 mph becoming north northwest after midnight. |
Saturday
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Mostly cloudy through mid morning, then gradual clearing, with a high near 90. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph becoming west southwest 11 to 16 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 24 mph. |
Saturday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 59. Northwest wind 12 to 17 mph decreasing to 5 to 10 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. |
Sunday
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Sunny, with a high near 86. West northwest wind around 5 mph becoming light and variable. |
Sunday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 61. West northwest wind 5 to 9 mph becoming east after midnight. |
Monday
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Mostly sunny, with a high near 84. East wind 6 to 10 mph. |
Monday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65. East southeast wind around 7 mph. |
Tuesday
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A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon. Sunny, with a high near 89. East southeast wind 6 to 9 mph becoming south in the afternoon. |
Tuesday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after midnight. Mostly clear, with a low around 65. South wind 9 to 11 mph becoming east in the evening. Winds could gust as high as 18 mph. |
Wednesday
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly before noon. Sunny, with a high near 86. |
Wednesday Night
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A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly clear, with a low around 64. |
Thursday
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Sunny, with a high near 87. |
Thursday Night
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Mostly clear, with a low around 64. |
Friday
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Sunny, with a high near 89. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Sunland Park NM.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
451
FXUS64 KEPZ 210008
AFDEPZ
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
608 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024
...New AVIATION...
.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024
Scattered showers and thunderstorms east of El Paso tonight, then
dry and cooler weather this weekend. Temperatures will be closer
to normal for late September next week with lowland highs in the
upper eighties and slight rain chances east of the Rio Grande.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024
Strong southwest flow aloft over the region today ahead of a
Pacific low centered over southern California. Plume of Gulf
moisture moving up out of Chihuahua across west Texas and south-
central New Mexico will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms
to parts of Otero, Hudspeth, and El Paso Counties later tonight.
Overall, rain amounts look to be light as these showers will move
to the northeast fairly quickly. Rain chances will linger into the
early Saturday morning hours.
Upper low progresses eastward on Saturday crossing the Southern
Rockies to our north and flushing out moisture to the east. This
push of westerlies will cool us down a few degrees and possibly
keep El Paso`s high in the upper 80s on Sunday. This would be
right near normal for late September.
Surface winds shift back to the east on Monday as high pressure
builds in across the Southern Plains behind the exiting low. This
will allow for a modest return of moisture to the area, especially
east of the Rio Grande valley.
Main question regarding next week`s weather forecast centers
around the strength and position of a break off polar jet streak
over the High Plains and how far south that developing upper low
can dive Tuesday/Wednesday. Good confidence in high pressure over
the Southwest US, but uncertainty lies in whether the El Paso
forecast area will be more under the influence of the former low
or latter high. If the low ends up resolving stronger than models
anticipate, we could expect more rain chances midweek (especially
east). If not, ridging flow aloft will likely keep us suppressed.
12Z GFS is the drier solution compared to the 12Z ECMWF, mostly
due to the positioning of that developing High Plains low. There
are still several GEFS perturbations that break this low off
early, but the majority favors a dry scenario for El Paso and
vicinity.
For now, NBM is keeping rain chances in the forecast for much of
the area Tuesday-Thursday, focusing east of the Rio Grande. I`m
worried those numbers may decrease in future forecast packages.
Something to monitor.
&&
.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024
Showers and a few thunderstorms ongoing over the area this
afternoon. Much of the TSRA activity has been occurring in
Hudspeth county with showery activity to the west. Low chances for
a thunderstorm near KELP but may need future amendments anywhere
from 02Z-05Z when storm activity could happen. SHRA- also
possible for KDMN and KTCS 04Z-06Z tonight but confidence is low.
Clouds will begin pushing west to east early tomorrow morning with
mostly clear skies over the entire area by the early afternoon
hours. Light winds can be expected overnight with speeds
generally AOB 10KT. A breezy afternoon is in store tomorrow where
we can expect southwest to west winds around 15-20G25-30KT during
the afternoon hours.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024
Elevated fire danger on Saturday, especially across southwestern
New Mexico with dry conditions and breezy southwest winds. Wind
gusts 20 to 30 mph in the afternoon will result in Excellent smoke
ventilation with transport to the northeast. Min RH 15-25%. Even
drier on Sunday, though winds will be much lighter.
Fuel conditions remain drier than normal for mid-September with
drought status still in place. The rest of September looks mostly
dry and warm for southwest New Mexico with a few rain chances for
LNF.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso 72 93 63 89 / 20 10 0 0
Sierra Blanca 67 89 59 85 / 50 20 10 0
Las Cruces 67 89 55 86 / 20 10 0 0
Alamogordo 66 89 54 85 / 30 20 0 0
Cloudcroft 49 66 40 64 / 40 30 0 0
Truth or Consequences 63 84 54 82 / 10 10 0 0
Silver City 54 75 48 79 / 0 0 0 0
Deming 61 87 51 85 / 10 0 0 0
Lordsburg 58 81 51 84 / 0 0 0 0
West El Paso Metro 72 91 62 87 / 20 10 0 0
Dell City 68 94 59 88 / 50 20 0 0
Fort Hancock 70 96 62 90 / 50 10 10 0
Loma Linda 65 85 57 81 / 40 10 0 0
Fabens 70 93 59 88 / 30 10 0 0
Santa Teresa 68 89 56 85 / 20 10 0 0
White Sands HQ 70 89 59 85 / 20 10 0 0
Jornada Range 67 87 53 84 / 20 10 0 0
Hatch 66 88 52 86 / 10 10 0 0
Columbus 65 89 55 85 / 10 10 0 0
Orogrande 66 88 54 83 / 30 20 0 0
Mayhill 54 79 45 73 / 40 30 0 0
Mescalero 54 77 44 74 / 50 30 0 0
Timberon 52 76 44 73 / 40 30 0 0
Winston 50 76 42 75 / 10 10 0 0
Hillsboro 59 83 50 82 / 10 10 0 0
Spaceport 63 85 51 83 / 10 10 0 0
Lake Roberts 48 73 41 78 / 10 0 0 0
Hurley 54 79 47 81 / 0 0 0 0
Cliff 51 82 44 87 / 0 0 0 0
Mule Creek 53 74 47 79 / 0 0 0 0
Faywood 57 79 49 80 / 10 0 0 0
Animas 58 84 52 84 / 0 0 0 0
Hachita 57 84 50 83 / 0 0 0 0
Antelope Wells 56 85 50 84 / 0 0 0 0
Cloverdale 55 78 50 81 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&
$$
FORECASTER...37-Slusher
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